Itâs looking rough out thereâpolitically, that is.
President Barack Obamaâs approval ratings are at 46 percent. Congressâ are worse. Both ratings, and the general feeling of malaise, are attributable to the inability to get anything done in Washington, D.C., and the myriad troubles abroad. Meaning, itâs sometimes a bit more pleasant to fantasize about what 2016 will bring.
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For the public, midterm elections are dull. Turnout is typically low. But 2016? You can look beyond the gridlock and see a debate over whether Hillary Clinton will run again and other possibilities that are more exciting.
But maybe we should get our heads out of the clouds and face the ever toughening political landscape.
Itâs going to get a lot worse before it gets any better.
On the surface, whether the Democrats maintain control of the Senate seems immaterial. Presently, Democrats struggle to get any progressive legislation through, and what little does make it out gets stalled in the Republican-controlled House of Representatives, never to make it to a vote.
On Wednesday, the first day of the Congressional Black Caucus Foundationâs 44th Annual Legislative Conference, Rep. Emanuel Cleaver (D-Mo.) voiced his concernânot for what changes may lay in store in 2016âbut for the hellish drama about to unfold this November during the midterms.
âMost of us are not even thinking about 2016. Weâre thinking about November,â Cleaver said.
Six Democrats in the Senate are in toss-up races that could go either way, meaning that power in Congress could tilt toward Republican control of both houses. Based on Cleaverâs assessment, one could say that if people thought Congress got nothing done before, they can prepare themselves for unprecedented levels of gridlocked nothingness until 2016.
âIt is important for us to understand that it matters who sits in the White House, if only because he or she appoints the federal district court, the courts of appeal and the Supreme Court,â said Cleaver after leaving a panel on black firefighters. âThe Senate, with great intentionality, is holding up judicial decisions [on appointees]. Anti-voting court decisions are attributable to the failure of the Senate Judiciary.â
And judges who might be more favorable to fair access to the ballot box arenât the only things that donât and wonât come out of Congress. Immigration reform. The DREAM Act. The amendment to restore the Voting Rights Act. These have all been stymied, stalled and stopped by congressional gridlock.
Youâd think there would be a bit of the old âthrow the bums outâ excitement for the 2014 midterms, but voter interest is so low that other than stalwarts like the white 65-and-up vote, thereâs a lot of fear in progressive circles that young people, black and brown people, and womenâthe coalition that got Obama elected twiceâwonât bother to vote in 2014.
People may not vote during midterm elections, but they still get legislatedâor notâby the Congress they didnât bother to choose every year.
Washington, D.C., is a city used to gridlock, whether itâs the traffic on the beltway or watching a bill get stalled in the colon of Congress. But if the November elections turn both houses of Congress red, that blockage might need a biopsy.
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